I know this is probably going to sound stupid, but normally its a gut thing for me. I weigh all the factors; water color, clarity, sun or clouds, thickness and clarity of the ice, is there snow on the ice, etc. Then if my first choice doesn't work I go to the by the book choices until the fish tell me what they want. Just like Lee said.
Inland Guide Service: Servicing NE Ohio lakes: Deer Creek, Atwood, Berlin, Dale Walborn, PLX, and Nimisila; for crappie, bluegill, saugeye, and walleye.
Team Wilcraft!
Pro Staff: IceFishOhio, JM Jigs, Eurotackle
Custom jigs available--pm for details